PnL (30d)

+$1

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

71%

249W / 100L · 38 open

Win Return (30d)

68%

263W / 124L

Trades (30d)

387

across 162 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.01

avg win $3 · loss $8

Profit Factor

1.00

$329 won / $328 lost

Reward / Risk

0.42

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$35

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	71.3% 249W/100L	162	$14,609
🏛 Politics	100.0% 25W/0L	19	$2,533
🎬 Culture	100.0% 25W/0L	19	$2,533
💵 Economy	—	1	$10
🤖 Tech	—	1	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	223	0.976	$217.33	$7.34	+3.5%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	165	0.982	$161.79	$11.79	+7.9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	59	0.915	$53.82	$3.82	+7.6%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	52	0.995	$51.44	$1.44	+2.9%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	54	0.955	$51.34	$1.34	+2.7%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	52	0.974	$50.34	$0.34	+0.7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	53	0.925	$49.28	$-0.72	-1.4%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	22	0.890	$19.56	$-0.44	-2.2%
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	10	0.953	$9.93	$-0.07	-0.7%