| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
875 |
0.705 |
$617.14 |
$51.51 |
+9.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
Yes |
3,300 |
0.037 |
$123.75 |
$-60.24 |
-32.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.615 |
$123.00 |
$-3.00 |
-2.4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
Yes |
1,005 |
0.095 |
$95.43 |
$-22.37 |
-19.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
205 |
0.305 |
$62.53 |
$-1.02 |
-1.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
166 |
0.290 |
$48.12 |
$11.63 |
+31.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
87 |
0.545 |
$47.36 |
$-8.07 |
-14.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
Yes |
2,607 |
0.015 |
$39.10 |
$5.69 |
+17.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
89 |
0.360 |
$32.20 |
$-9.23 |
-22.3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
2,484 |
0.011 |
$28.57 |
$-17.30 |
-37.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? |
Yes |
102 |
0.210 |
$21.42 |
$-15.53 |
-42.0% |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
158 |
0.135 |
$21.31 |
$-43.97 |
-67.4% |
| Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? |
Yes |
25 |
0.644 |
$16.11 |
$11.10 |
+222.0% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
681 |
0.020 |
$13.62 |
$1.95 |
+16.7% |
| Government shutdown by October 1? |
Yes |
50 |
0.210 |
$10.50 |
$0.50 |
+5.0% |
| Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.190 |
$9.50 |
$-1.50 |
-13.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
23 |
0.400 |
$9.12 |
$-4.87 |
-34.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
10 |
0.895 |
$8.95 |
$3.55 |
+65.7% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
No |
24 |
0.355 |
$8.69 |
$-4.61 |
-34.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
40 |
0.215 |
$8.60 |
$-8.00 |
-48.2% |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? |
Yes |
62 |
0.085 |
$5.29 |
$-18.31 |
-77.6% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.230 |
$2.30 |
$-1.70 |
-42.5% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? |
Yes |
17 |
0.115 |
$1.92 |
$-0.43 |
-18.2% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
19 |
0.095 |
$1.76 |
$-3.24 |
-64.8% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
19 |
0.085 |
$1.57 |
$-3.43 |
-68.5% |