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Trader leaderboard/adasol

adasol

0x5297f1e1d0f0584537af763652a0a5f874037b99
PnL (30d)
+$4,566
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1,900
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
6,655W / 2,187L · 5,011 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
8,663W / 5,190L
Trades (30d)
13,853
across 98 markets · ~141 per market
EV / position
+$87.80
avg win $137 · loss $34
Profit Factor
9.99
$5,074 won / $508 lost
Reward / Risk
4.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $308,686 · all-time $42,647,642

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 75.3% 6,655W/2,187L 98 $247,265
🏛 Politics 100.0% 659W/0L 11 $19,565
💵 Economy 97.9% 471W/10L 7 $2,329
₿ Crypto 28.6% 4W/10L 6 $930
🎬 Culture 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

36 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 875 0.705 $617.14 $51.51 +9.1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? Yes 3,300 0.037 $123.75 $-60.24 -32.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 200 0.615 $123.00 $-3.00 -2.4%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes 1,005 0.095 $95.43 $-22.37 -19.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 205 0.305 $62.53 $-1.02 -1.6%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? Yes 166 0.290 $48.12 $11.63 +31.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 87 0.545 $47.36 $-8.07 -14.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? Yes 2,607 0.015 $37.80 $4.38 +13.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 89 0.360 $32.20 $-9.23 -22.3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? Yes 2,484 0.013 $31.05 $-14.81 -32.3%
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes 158 0.140 $22.10 $-43.18 -66.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? Yes 102 0.195 $19.89 $-17.06 -46.2%
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? Yes 25 0.644 $16.11 $11.10 +222.0%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? Yes 691 0.022 $15.56 $3.71 +31.3%
Government shutdown by October 1? Yes 50 0.210 $10.50 $0.50 +5.0%
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026? Yes 50 0.190 $9.50 $-1.50 -13.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes 23 0.400 $9.12 $-4.87 -34.8%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 10 0.910 $9.10 $3.70 +68.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 40 0.225 $9.00 $-7.60 -45.8%
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? No 24 0.350 $8.57 $-4.74 -35.6%
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? Yes 62 0.085 $5.29 $-18.31 -77.6%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes 10 0.225 $2.25 $-1.75 -43.8%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes 17 0.115 $1.92 $-0.43 -18.2%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes 19 0.095 $1.76 $-3.24 -64.8%
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? Yes 19 0.085 $1.57 $-3.43 -68.5%