PnL (30d)

+$417

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$267

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+5.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

93%

43W / 3L · 29 open

Win Return (30d)

77%

58W / 17L

Trades (30d)

75

across 16 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$69.47

avg win $183 · loss $498

Profit Factor

1.84

$915 won / $498 lost

Reward / Risk

0.37

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$48

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	87.9% 51W/7L	29	$21,467
🏛 Politics	10.5% 4W/34L	13	$6,096

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	8,219	0.325	$2,671.06	$-680.71	-20.3%
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	1,320	0.830	$1,095.46	$101.34	+10.2%
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	No	277	0.850	$235.48	$85.48	+57.0%
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	263	0.835	$219.93	$95.30	+76.5%
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?	Yes	141	0.755	$106.64	$-6.36	-5.6%
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?	No	116	0.750	$87.14	$-4.65	-5.1%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	143	0.355	$50.66	$-28.96	-36.4%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	17	0.645	$10.75	$-0.25	-2.3%
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	1	0.920	$1.33	$0.33	+33.3%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	2	0.525	$0.92	$-0.08	-7.9%