PnL (30d)

−$417

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$338

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

88%

51W / 7L · 36 open

Win Return (30d)

80%

74W / 18L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

94

across 27 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$37.90

avg win $120 · loss $460

Profit Factor

0.70

$962 won / $1,379 lost

Reward / Risk

0.26

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$48

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	87.9% 51W/7L	27	$21,024
🏛 Politics	15.4% 6W/33L	10	$5,792

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	8,219	0.325	$2,671.06	$-680.71	-20.3%
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	1,320	0.790	$1,042.67	$48.55	+4.9%
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	No	277	0.785	$217.47	$67.47	+45.0%
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	263	0.770	$202.81	$78.18	+62.7%
Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?	Yes	141	0.745	$105.23	$-7.77	-6.9%
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?	No	116	0.750	$87.14	$-4.65	-5.1%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	143	0.358	$51.16	$-28.46	-35.7%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	17	0.655	$10.92	$-0.08	-0.8%
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	1	0.925	$1.34	$0.34	+34.0%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	2	0.515	$0.90	$-0.10	-9.6%