Trader
0x520ee90647d0c8240680686cff408d628b55d75a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$23
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
9W / 7L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
13W / 7L
Trades (30d)
20
across 4 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$7.70
avg win $20 · loss $22
Profit Factor
0.47
$20 won / $43 lost
Reward / Risk
0.94
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$43
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $411 · all-time $1,566,657
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? |
No |
100 |
0.810 |
$81.00 |
$7.00 |
+9.5% |
| Will GBP/USD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.395 |
$11.85 |
$4.35 |
+58.0% |
| Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? |
Yes |
50 |
0.095 |
$4.75 |
$-0.45 |
-8.7% |
| Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? |
Yes |
46 |
0.080 |
$3.66 |
$1.83 |
+100.0% |
| Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? |
Yes |
40 |
0.090 |
$3.60 |
$1.60 |
+80.0% |
| Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? |
Yes |
46 |
0.060 |
$2.74 |
$0.91 |
+50.0% |