PnL (30d)

+$292

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$17

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+11.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

34%

50W / 96L · 40 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

73W / 111L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

186

across 74 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$4.71

avg win $51 · loss $13

Profit Factor

1.50

$872 won / $581 lost

Reward / Risk

3.98

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$90

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	34.2% 50W/96L	74	$4,574
💵 Economy	56.2% 9W/7L	6	$1,347
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/9L	5	$26
🏛 Politics	56.2% 9W/7L	4	$1,051
🌤 Weather	—	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	No	100	0.675	$67.50	$-6.50	-8.8%
Will GBP/USD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	30	0.375	$11.25	$3.75	+50.0%
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	50	0.070	$3.50	$-1.70	-32.7%
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	40	0.080	$3.20	$1.20	+60.0%
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	46	0.060	$2.74	$0.91	+50.0%
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	46	0.050	$2.29	$0.46	+25.0%