PnL (30d)

+$424

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$34

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+41.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

24%

12W / 38L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

25%

13W / 38L

Trades (30d)

51

across 4 markets · ~13 per market

EV / position

+$141.37

avg win $478 · loss $27

Profit Factor

8.82

$478 won / $54 lost

Reward / Risk

17.65

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$8

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	51.1% 157W/150L	89	$62,695
🏛 Politics	56.0% 14W/11L	7	$11,470
💵 Economy	50.0% 5W/5L	4	$2,669
₿ Crypto	71.4% 5W/2L	3	$1,132
🎬 Culture	60.0% 12W/8L	2	$2,103

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	3,549	0.165	$585.64	$90.60	+18.3%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	Yes	256	0.630	$160.99	$36.28	+29.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	3,970	0.033	$129.04	$-70.46	-35.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	167	0.675	$112.51	$12.50	+12.5%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?	Yes	202	0.285	$57.41	$7.91	+16.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	103	0.535	$55.19	$5.69	+11.5%
Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	88	0.504	$44.41	$34.41	+344.1%
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	58	0.335	$19.50	$0.34	+1.8%
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	43	0.225	$9.75	$0.22	+2.3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?	Yes	298	0.013	$3.73	$-45.77	-92.5%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	43	0.055	$2.37	$-2.37	-50.0%