PnL (30d)

−$1,069

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2,066

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

51%

157W / 150L · 205 open

Win Return (30d)

59%

304W / 208L

Trades (30d)

512

across 89 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$18.12

avg win $95 · loss $114

Profit Factor

0.71

$2,576 won / $3,645 lost

Reward / Risk

0.84

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,477

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	51.1% 157W/150L	89	$62,695
🏛 Politics	57.7% 15W/11L	8	$11,472
💵 Economy	54.5% 6W/5L	5	$2,671
₿ Crypto	71.4% 5W/2L	3	$1,132
🎬 Culture	60.0% 12W/8L	2	$2,103

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	3,549	0.165	$585.64	$90.60	+18.3%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	Yes	256	0.615	$157.15	$32.45	+26.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	3,970	0.032	$125.07	$-74.43	-37.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	167	0.690	$114.99	$14.99	+15.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?	Yes	202	0.290	$58.44	$8.94	+18.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	103	0.533	$55.03	$5.53	+11.2%
Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	88	0.504	$44.41	$34.41	+344.1%
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	58	0.335	$19.50	$0.34	+1.8%
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	43	0.220	$9.53	$0.00	+0.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?	Yes	298	0.011	$3.43	$-46.07	-93.1%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	43	0.065	$2.80	$-1.94	-40.9%