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Trader

0x50b977391c4b3dd88b0a0bef03c3434fe4284298
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$10
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
2%
115W / 5,482L · 427 open
Win Return (30d)
3%
171W / 5,831L · 22 open
Trades (30d)
6,024
across 5,200 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.00
avg win $5 · loss $0
Profit Factor
1.04
$250 won / $240 lost
Reward / Risk
98.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$36
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $44,379 · all-time $2,756,345

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 2.2% 1,062W/46,241L 44110 $2,220
⚽ Sports 1.3% 42W/3,089L 3471 $173
₿ Crypto 1.9% 42W/2,148L 2332 $117
🌤 Weather 2.3% 41W/1,715L 1877 $95
💵 Economy 2.2% 23W/1,025L 1120 $57
🎬 Culture 3.6% 35W/927L 894 $45
🏛 Politics 5.9% 22W/349L 393 $20
🤖 Tech 0.8% 2W/244L 237 $12
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/4L 12 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? Yes 9 0.988 $8.82 $8.73 +9780.0%
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No 15 0.530 $7.95 $7.80 +5200.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 6? Yes 5 1.000 $5.00 $4.95 +9895.0%
Will Papa John's International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 5 1.000 $5.00 $4.95 +9895.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6? Yes 5 1.000 $5.00 $4.95 +9895.0%
Will Krispy Kreme (DNUT) beat quarterly earnings? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $4.95 +9895.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6? Yes 5 0.998 $4.99 $4.94 +9880.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes 5 0.996 $4.98 $4.93 +9855.0%
Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026? Yes 5 0.986 $4.93 $4.88 +9755.0%
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by at least 16%? Yes 5 0.970 $4.85 $4.80 +9595.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 6? Yes 5 0.956 $4.78 $4.73 +9455.0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.895 $4.47 $4.42 +8850.0%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.790 $3.95 $3.90 +7800.0%
Pakhtakor vs. FK Buxoro: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Over 5 0.760 $3.80 $3.75 +7500.0%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26? Down 5 0.725 $3.62 $3.58 +7150.0%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles KT Wiz 5 0.608 $3.04 $2.99 +5975.0%
Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Chiba Lotte Marines 5 0.543 $2.71 $2.67 +5330.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 6? No 5 0.536 $2.68 $2.63 +5260.0%
Yokohama BayStars vs. Hiroshima Carp Yokohama BayStars 5 0.510 $2.55 $2.50 +5000.0%
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%? Yes 5 0.509 $2.55 $2.50 +4993.8%
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes 10 0.255 $2.54 $2.44 +2445.0%
Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers India Tigers 5 0.505 $2.52 $2.48 +4950.0%
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Peshawar Zalmi - Toss Match Double Peshawar Zalmi Winner Yes 5 0.505 $2.52 $2.48 +4950.0%
Exact Score: Racing Club Montevideo 3 - 3 CA Boston River? Yes 5 0.505 $2.52 $2.48 +4950.0%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 5 0.500 $2.50 $2.45 +4903.8%