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Trader

0x50b977391c4b3dd88b0a0bef03c3434fe4284298
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$78
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+146.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
5%
57W / 1,052L · 80 open
Win Return (30d)
7%
85W / 1,094L · 10 open
Trades (30d)
1,189
across 1,040 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.08
avg win $5 · loss $0
Profit Factor
2.65
$125 won / $47 lost
Reward / Risk
92.82
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $51,749 · all-time $2,763,715

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 2.3% 1,069W/46,205L 44154 $2,222
⚽ Sports 1.2% 36W/2,973L 3349 $167
₿ Crypto 2.0% 44W/2,114L 2395 $120
🌤 Weather 2.1% 35W/1,659L 1791 $90
💵 Economy 2.6% 25W/934L 1108 $56
🎬 Culture 3.7% 30W/771L 790 $40
🏛 Politics 6.0% 20W/314L 355 $18
🤖 Tech 1.1% 2W/186L 194 $10
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/2L 9 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No 15 0.625 $9.38 $9.22 +6150.0%
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? Yes 9 0.988 $8.82 $8.73 +9780.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 5 1.000 $5.00 $4.95 +9895.0%
Will the US lose jobs in July? Yes 5 1.000 $5.00 $4.95 +9895.0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 7? Yes 5 0.999 $5.00 $4.95 +9890.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes 5 0.996 $4.98 $4.93 +9860.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on August 7? Yes 5 0.995 $4.97 $4.92 +9850.0%
Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026? Yes 5 0.984 $4.92 $4.87 +9740.0%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.970 $4.85 $4.80 +9600.0%
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by at least 16%? Yes 5 0.969 $4.84 $4.79 +9585.0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of August 3 2026? No 5 0.941 $4.70 $4.65 +9305.0%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26? Down 5 0.725 $3.62 $3.58 +7150.0%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles KT Wiz 5 0.608 $3.04 $2.99 +5975.0%
AC Monza vs. Calcio Padova: AC Monza O/U 1.5 Over 5 0.545 $2.73 $2.67 +5350.0%
Yokohama BayStars vs. Hiroshima Carp Yokohama BayStars 5 0.510 $2.55 $2.50 +5000.0%
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%? Yes 5 0.509 $2.54 $2.50 +4990.0%
Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers India Tigers 5 0.505 $2.52 $2.48 +4950.0%
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Peshawar Zalmi - Toss Match Double Peshawar Zalmi Winner Yes 5 0.505 $2.52 $2.48 +4950.0%
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes 10 0.251 $2.50 $2.40 +2404.9%
Paris FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 5 0.500 $2.50 $2.45 +4900.0%
Will Michael Johnson win the 2026 Pinnacle Bank Championship? Yes 5 0.500 $2.50 $2.45 +4900.0%
Will Jorge Fernandez Valdes win the 2026 Pinnacle Bank Championship? Yes 5 0.500 $2.50 $2.45 +4900.0%
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss? Sri Lanka 5 0.500 $2.50 $2.45 +4900.0%
Will Adam Hadwin win the 2026 Pinnacle Bank Championship? Yes 5 0.500 $2.50 $2.45 +4900.0%
Will Russell Knox win the 2026 Pinnacle Bank Championship? Yes 5 0.500 $2.50 $2.45 +4900.0%