Log in
Trader leaderboard/DonPanic

DonPanic

0x50b242e0b9ac75359464c5b3be62ad6b42d8c94a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$16
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$235
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
48%
44W / 47L · 92 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
116W / 67L
Trades (30d)
183
across 25 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$1.46
avg win $21 · loss $15
Profit Factor
1.18
$107 won / $91 lost
Reward / Risk
1.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $17,931 · all-time $1,863,179

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.6% 232W/79L 94 $61,118
🏛 Politics 9 $1,760
💵 Economy 3 $479
₿ Crypto 3 $466

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes 11,473 0.115 $1,319.40 $-1,465.06 -52.6%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No 1,000 0.875 $874.99 $-1.00 -0.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? No 1,000 0.865 $865.01 $5.00 +0.6%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 620 0.945 $585.59 $33.79 +6.1%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? Yes 4,378 0.105 $459.70 $74.03 +19.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 400 0.961 $384.20 $0.80 +0.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 487 0.775 $377.55 $174.39 +85.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 400 0.835 $334.00 $-2.00 -0.6%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes 400 0.790 $316.00 $-38.00 -10.7%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes 806 0.390 $314.25 $-90.33 -22.3%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes 9,163 0.033 $297.80 $-1,439.77 -82.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? No 400 0.735 $294.00 $-6.00 -2.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? Yes 540 0.535 $289.08 $64.95 +29.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 500 0.531 $265.50 $-127.00 -32.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? Yes 4,914 0.041 $201.48 $-163.36 -44.8%
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? No 216 0.911 $196.88 $6.78 +3.6%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No 220 0.715 $157.27 $-9.90 -5.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 200 0.785 $157.00 $56.52 +56.3%
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 1,066 0.145 $154.61 $-4.00 -2.5%
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? Yes 416 0.355 $147.77 $31.22 +26.8%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? No 156 0.905 $141.51 $29.42 +26.2%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? Yes 1,406 0.100 $140.62 $-195.16 -58.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? No 300 0.445 $133.50 $-9.50 -6.6%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? No 140 0.897 $125.65 $4.97 +4.1%
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No 342 0.350 $119.64 $11.67 +10.8%