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Trader leaderboard/DonPanic

DonPanic

0x50b242e0b9ac75359464c5b3be62ad6b42d8c94a
PnL (30d)
+$282
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,329
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
232W / 79L · 507 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
577W / 241L
Trades (30d)
818
across 94 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$6.71
avg win $33 · loss $46
Profit Factor
1.44
$920 won / $639 lost
Reward / Risk
0.72
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $17,712 · all-time $1,862,961

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.6% 232W/79L 94 $61,118
🏛 Politics 9 $1,760
💵 Economy 3 $479
₿ Crypto 3 $466

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes 11,473 0.115 $1,319.40 $-1,465.06 -52.6%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No 1,000 0.875 $874.99 $-1.00 -0.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? No 1,000 0.865 $865.01 $5.00 +0.6%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 620 0.952 $589.93 $38.13 +6.9%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? Yes 4,378 0.105 $459.70 $74.03 +19.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 400 0.959 $383.40 $0.00 +0.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 487 0.775 $377.55 $174.39 +85.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 400 0.835 $334.00 $-2.00 -0.6%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes 400 0.790 $316.00 $-38.00 -10.7%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes 9,163 0.033 $297.80 $-1,439.77 -82.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? No 400 0.735 $294.00 $-6.00 -2.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? Yes 540 0.525 $283.68 $59.54 +26.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 500 0.537 $268.50 $-124.00 -31.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes 606 0.380 $230.20 $-98.38 -29.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? Yes 4,914 0.041 $201.48 $-163.36 -44.8%
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? No 216 0.907 $196.02 $5.92 +3.1%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No 220 0.710 $156.17 $-11.00 -6.6%
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 1,066 0.145 $154.61 $-4.00 -2.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 200 0.770 $154.00 $53.52 +53.3%
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? Yes 416 0.355 $147.77 $31.22 +26.8%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? No 156 0.905 $141.51 $29.42 +26.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? No 300 0.430 $129.00 $-14.00 -9.8%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? No 140 0.900 $126.00 $5.32 +4.4%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? Yes 1,206 0.100 $120.62 $-193.16 -61.6%
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No 342 0.350 $119.64 $11.67 +10.8%