Rebecca-95
0x508212fa8e10afce25025422161c15c68b8b049d
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$735
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$515
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-15.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
1W / 2L · 77 open
Win Return (30d)
1%
1W / 79L
Trades (30d)
80
across 4 markets · ~20 per market
EV / position
−$244.95
avg win $32 · loss $383
Profit Factor
0.04
$32 won / $766 lost
Reward / Risk
0.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$46
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $804,949
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
11,000 |
0.385 |
$4,234.87 |
$-514.62 |
-10.8% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
5,500 |
0.510 |
$2,807.39 |
$510.80 |
+22.2% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5,001 |
0.146 |
$732.59 |
$207.87 |
+39.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
4,500 |
0.034 |
$152.99 |
$-555.87 |
-78.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
5 |
0.445 |
$2.36 |
$-0.24 |
-9.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
1 |
0.865 |
$0.86 |
$0.04 |
+4.2% |