PnL (30d)

+$1,430

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+7.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

40%

34W / 52L · 169 open

Win Return (30d)

43%

110W / 145L

Trades (30d)

255

across 16 markets · ~16 per market

EV / position

+$158.89

avg win $529 · loss $304

Profit Factor

2.18

$2,644 won / $1,214 lost

Reward / Risk

1.74

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$46

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	39.5% 34W/52L	16	$39,892
💵 Economy	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$165
🏛 Politics	—	1	$54

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	11,000	0.385	$4,234.87	$-514.62	-10.8%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	5,500	0.510	$2,807.39	$510.80	+22.2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,001	0.146	$732.59	$207.87	+39.6%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	4,500	0.031	$139.49	$-569.37	-80.3%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	5	0.445	$2.36	$-0.24	-9.2%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	1	0.865	$0.86	$0.04	+4.2%