| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.625 |
$937.51 |
$25.50 |
+2.8% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.865 |
$346.00 |
$127.91 |
+58.6% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.886 |
$221.63 |
$33.92 |
+18.1% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? |
No |
159 |
0.875 |
$138.93 |
$6.27 |
+4.7% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
165 |
0.615 |
$101.48 |
$-5.17 |
-4.9% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? |
No |
100 |
0.955 |
$95.44 |
$6.35 |
+7.1% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
2,900 |
0.025 |
$72.50 |
$-20.44 |
-22.0% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? |
No |
80 |
0.825 |
$66.00 |
$15.20 |
+29.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
150 |
0.395 |
$59.25 |
$9.75 |
+19.7% |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
78 |
0.680 |
$53.11 |
$-14.27 |
-21.2% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.885 |
$44.25 |
$1.68 |
+4.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.515 |
$25.74 |
$-4.75 |
-15.6% |
| Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch? |
No |
31 |
0.670 |
$20.63 |
$-5.08 |
-19.8% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? |
No |
27 |
0.595 |
$16.03 |
$6.40 |
+66.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.790 |
$15.80 |
$1.20 |
+8.2% |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.210 |
$6.30 |
$-3.60 |
-36.4% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? |
No |
10 |
0.400 |
$4.00 |
$1.40 |
+53.8% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
16 |
0.240 |
$3.95 |
$-0.56 |
-12.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.355 |
$3.55 |
$-1.16 |
-24.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.665 |
$2.89 |
$-0.46 |
-13.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
40 |
0.048 |
$1.92 |
$-0.68 |
-26.2% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
33 |
0.057 |
$1.90 |
$-10.52 |
-84.7% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? |
No |
3 |
0.275 |
$0.74 |
$0.31 |
+71.9% |
| Tuyo FDV above $80M one day after launch? |
Yes |
1 |
0.340 |
$0.40 |
$0.07 |
+21.4% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
340 |
0.001 |
$0.17 |
$-65.13 |
-99.7% |