| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.625 |
$937.51 |
$25.50 |
+2.8% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.855 |
$342.00 |
$123.91 |
+56.8% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.886 |
$221.63 |
$33.92 |
+18.1% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? |
No |
159 |
0.875 |
$138.93 |
$6.27 |
+4.7% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
165 |
0.615 |
$101.48 |
$-5.17 |
-4.9% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? |
No |
100 |
0.955 |
$95.44 |
$6.35 |
+7.1% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
2,900 |
0.026 |
$75.40 |
$-17.54 |
-18.9% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? |
No |
80 |
0.825 |
$66.00 |
$15.20 |
+29.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
150 |
0.405 |
$60.75 |
$11.25 |
+22.7% |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
78 |
0.675 |
$52.72 |
$-14.66 |
-21.8% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.880 |
$44.00 |
$1.43 |
+3.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.515 |
$25.74 |
$-4.75 |
-15.6% |
| Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch? |
No |
31 |
0.675 |
$20.79 |
$-4.93 |
-19.2% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? |
No |
27 |
0.590 |
$15.89 |
$6.27 |
+65.1% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.790 |
$15.80 |
$1.20 |
+8.2% |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.210 |
$6.30 |
$-3.60 |
-36.4% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? |
No |
10 |
0.400 |
$4.00 |
$1.40 |
+53.8% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
16 |
0.235 |
$3.87 |
$-0.65 |
-14.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.350 |
$3.50 |
$-1.21 |
-25.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.665 |
$2.89 |
$-0.46 |
-13.6% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
33 |
0.060 |
$2.02 |
$-10.40 |
-83.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
40 |
0.036 |
$1.44 |
$-1.16 |
-44.6% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? |
No |
3 |
0.275 |
$0.74 |
$0.31 |
+71.9% |
| Tuyo FDV above $80M one day after launch? |
Yes |
1 |
0.355 |
$0.41 |
$0.09 |
+26.8% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
340 |
0.001 |
$0.17 |
$-65.13 |
-99.7% |