| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
100 |
0.865 |
$86.50 |
$3.50 |
+4.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
100 |
0.865 |
$86.50 |
$3.50 |
+4.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
500 |
0.165 |
$82.50 |
$14.50 |
+21.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
120 |
0.471 |
$56.58 |
$10.62 |
+23.1% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
153 |
0.356 |
$54.39 |
$-2.04 |
-3.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.485 |
$48.50 |
$4.50 |
+10.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
120 |
0.295 |
$35.40 |
$-0.60 |
-1.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
100 |
0.215 |
$21.50 |
$-2.50 |
-10.4% |
| Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? |
Yes |
100 |
0.205 |
$20.50 |
$1.50 |
+7.9% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? |
Yes |
400 |
0.044 |
$17.60 |
$-6.36 |
-26.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
400 |
0.032 |
$12.60 |
$-7.80 |
-38.2% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.075 |
$7.50 |
$0.50 |
+7.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.011 |
$2.88 |
$-5.12 |
-64.1% |