| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
100 |
0.865 |
$86.50 |
$3.50 |
+4.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
100 |
0.865 |
$86.50 |
$3.50 |
+4.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
500 |
0.165 |
$82.50 |
$14.50 |
+21.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
120 |
0.489 |
$58.74 |
$12.78 |
+27.8% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
153 |
0.357 |
$54.54 |
$-1.89 |
-3.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.485 |
$48.50 |
$4.50 |
+10.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
120 |
0.310 |
$37.20 |
$1.20 |
+3.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
100 |
0.215 |
$21.50 |
$-2.50 |
-10.4% |
| Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? |
Yes |
100 |
0.205 |
$20.50 |
$1.50 |
+7.9% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? |
Yes |
400 |
0.044 |
$17.60 |
$-6.36 |
-26.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
400 |
0.033 |
$13.20 |
$-7.20 |
-35.3% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.075 |
$7.50 |
$0.50 |
+7.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.012 |
$3.00 |
$-5.00 |
-62.5% |