| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
11,000 |
0.790 |
$8,695.50 |
$3,195.50 |
+58.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
3,000 |
0.973 |
$2,917.47 |
$7.50 |
+0.3% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
11,000 |
0.209 |
$2,304.50 |
$-3,195.50 |
-58.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.860 |
$859.99 |
$10.00 |
+1.2% |
| Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? |
No |
500 |
0.960 |
$479.75 |
$54.75 |
+12.9% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? |
Yes |
566 |
0.825 |
$467.21 |
$8.49 |
+1.9% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
1,362 |
0.305 |
$415.27 |
$-224.36 |
-35.1% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.370 |
$370.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
376 |
0.925 |
$347.44 |
$39.44 |
+12.8% |
| Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
400 |
0.730 |
$291.98 |
$-20.00 |
-6.4% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
312 |
0.650 |
$202.57 |
$-24.12 |
-10.6% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
319 |
0.585 |
$186.84 |
$-43.12 |
-18.8% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.886 |
$177.30 |
$21.30 |
+13.7% |
| Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
No |
148 |
0.715 |
$105.61 |
$18.46 |
+21.2% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.997 |
$99.65 |
$12.65 |
+14.5% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
Yes |
858 |
0.115 |
$98.65 |
$-55.76 |
-36.1% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? |
No |
108 |
0.875 |
$94.33 |
$0.89 |
+0.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.855 |
$85.50 |
$10.50 |
+14.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.853 |
$85.26 |
$14.75 |
+20.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.845 |
$84.50 |
$-7.50 |
-8.2% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
No |
200 |
0.395 |
$78.90 |
$-23.90 |
-23.2% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? |
No |
87 |
0.893 |
$77.33 |
$5.89 |
+8.2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.686 |
$68.60 |
$-6.60 |
-8.8% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
42 |
0.785 |
$32.91 |
$-1.89 |
-5.4% |
| Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
83 |
0.320 |
$26.67 |
$2.50 |
+10.3% |