Log in
Trader leaderboard/Crypto-Well

Crypto-Well

0x4e39fdfc230f9312d93db03ab48c10fccf2d8cbf
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
2W / 0L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
8W / 0L
Trades (30d)
8
across 2 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$1.15
avg win $1
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $188,861 · all-time $16,913,478

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.1% 8,365W/5,323L 491 $4,551
🏛 Politics 31.0% 104W/231L 83 $728
💵 Economy 62.2% 74W/45L 29 $113
₿ Crypto 41.0% 66W/95L 20 $111
🤖 Tech 8.0% 4W/46L 11 $36
🎬 Culture 60.5% 52W/34L 6 $28
⚽ Sports 5 $58
🌤 Weather 1 $0
🔬 Science 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

143 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 99,999 0.001 $50.00 $-50.00 -50.0%
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 26,912 0.002 $40.37 $13.46 +50.0%
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 25,321 0.002 $37.98 $12.66 +50.0%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 15,814 0.002 $23.72 $7.91 +50.0%
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 14,610 0.002 $21.92 $7.31 +50.0%
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes 12,144 0.002 $18.22 $6.07 +50.0%
Will Jake Paul be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 481 0.029 $13.70 $12.74 +1325.0%
Will Anthony Edwards be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 252 0.040 $9.95 $9.45 +1875.0%
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 5,864 0.002 $8.80 $0.01 +0.1%
Will Billie Eilish be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 481 0.017 $8.17 $7.21 +750.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in August? Yes 3,972 0.002 $7.94 $2.87 +56.5%
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 4,700 0.002 $7.05 $0.85 +13.6%
Will Joe Burrow be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 181 0.039 $7.05 $6.69 +1850.0%
Will Pedro Pascal be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 181 0.039 $7.05 $6.69 +1850.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in August? Yes 13,249 0.001 $6.62 $-7.84 -54.2%
Will Zendaya be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 371 0.015 $5.56 $4.82 +650.0%
Will Caitlin Clark be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 181 0.030 $5.42 $5.06 +1400.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? Yes 1,688 0.003 $5.06 $1.69 +50.0%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 3,333 0.002 $5.00 $1.67 +50.0%
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 476 0.011 $4.99 $4.04 +425.0%
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 3,315 0.002 $4.97 $1.66 +50.0%
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 3,310 0.002 $4.96 $1.65 +50.0%
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes 2,451 0.002 $4.90 $0.76 +18.5%
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 3,226 0.002 $4.84 $1.61 +50.0%
Will Angel Reese be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 181 0.026 $4.70 $4.34 +1200.0%