PnL (30d)

−$1

Science · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

25%

2W / 6L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

8W / 6L

Trades (30d)

14

across 3 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$0.63

avg win $1 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.48

$1 won / $2 lost

Reward / Risk

0.48

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	61.1% 8,365W/5,323L	491	$4,551
🏛 Politics	27.8% 87W/226L	78	$699
💵 Economy	52.0% 39W/36L	26	$96
₿ Crypto	74.0% 37W/13L	18	$102
🤖 Tech	2.1% 1W/46L	11	$36
🎬 Culture	60.5% 52W/34L	6	$28
⚽ Sports	—	5	$53
🌤 Weather	—	1	$0
🔬 Science	—	1	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

141 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	99,999	0.001	$50.00	$-50.00	-50.0%
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	26,912	0.002	$40.37	$13.46	+50.0%
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	25,321	0.002	$37.98	$12.66	+50.0%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	15,814	0.002	$23.72	$7.91	+50.0%
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	14,610	0.002	$21.92	$7.31	+50.0%
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	13,144	0.002	$19.72	$6.57	+50.0%
Will Jake Paul be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	481	0.029	$13.70	$12.74	+1325.0%
Will Anthony Edwards be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	252	0.040	$9.95	$9.45	+1875.0%
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	5,864	0.002	$8.80	$0.01	+0.1%
Will Billie Eilish be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	481	0.017	$8.17	$7.21	+750.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in August?	Yes	3,972	0.002	$7.94	$2.87	+56.5%
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	4,700	0.002	$7.05	$0.85	+13.6%
Will Joe Burrow be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	181	0.039	$7.05	$6.69	+1850.0%
Will Pedro Pascal be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	181	0.039	$7.05	$6.69	+1850.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in August?	Yes	13,249	0.001	$6.62	$-7.84	-54.2%
Will Zendaya be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	371	0.015	$5.56	$4.82	+650.0%
Will Caitlin Clark be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	181	0.030	$5.42	$5.06	+1400.0%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	3,333	0.002	$5.00	$1.67	+50.0%
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	476	0.011	$4.99	$4.04	+425.0%
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	3,315	0.002	$4.97	$1.66	+50.0%
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	3,310	0.002	$4.96	$1.65	+50.0%
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	2,451	0.002	$4.90	$0.76	+18.5%
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	3,226	0.002	$4.84	$1.61	+50.0%
Will Angel Reese be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	181	0.026	$4.70	$4.34	+1200.0%
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	3,129	0.002	$4.69	$1.56	+50.0%