PnL (30d)

−$13

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-11.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

26%

18W / 50L · 25 open

Win Return (30d)

22%

18W / 63L · 12 open

Trades (30d)

93

across 33 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.56

avg win $0 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.17

$3 won / $16 lost

Reward / Risk

0.51

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$5

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	33.7% 65W/128L	75	$582
🏛 Politics	21.4% 3W/11L	13	$72
🎬 Culture	21.4% 3W/11L	13	$72

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

1 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	12	0.030	$0.37	$-2.63	-87.8%