PnL (30d)

−$9

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$9

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

34%

65W / 128L · 32 open

Win Return (30d)

31%

65W / 144L · 16 open

Trades (30d)

225

across 75 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.14

avg win $1 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.69

$19 won / $28 lost

Reward / Risk

1.44

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$8

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	33.7% 65W/128L	75	$582
🏛 Politics	18.8% 3W/13L	13	$77
🎬 Culture	18.8% 3W/13L	13	$77

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

1 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	12	0.032	$0.38	$-2.62	-87.4%