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Trader

0x4dc3abdf5035e9952d7efaa55934daa457d14702
PnL (30d)
−$3
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
9W / 15L · 41 open
Win Return (30d)
38%
23W / 37L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
65
across 26 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.34
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.73
$7 won / $10 lost
Reward / Risk
0.73
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $38 · all-time $1,395

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 37.5% 9W/15L 26 $98
🤖 Tech 3 $8

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes 25 0.415 $10.44 $-2.48 -19.2%
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? Yes 10 0.928 $9.29 $1.24 +15.3%
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes 16 0.590 $9.21 $1.71 +22.7%
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? No 5 0.945 $4.88 $2.48 +103.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? No 13 0.330 $4.35 $-2.81 -39.3%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No 5 0.490 $2.58 $-1.17 -31.2%
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? No 3 0.810 $2.32 $0.52 +28.6%
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes 4 0.408 $1.83 $1.13 +161.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No 3 0.224 $0.62 $-0.58 -48.0%
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes 5 0.095 $0.47 $-0.33 -40.6%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No 5 0.081 $0.40 $-0.94 -70.0%
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? Yes 5 0.002 $0.01 $-0.24 -97.0%
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? Yes 10 0.001 $0.01 $-0.49 -99.0%