PnL (30d)

−$2

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-12.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 2L · 14 open

Win Return (30d)

88%

14W / 2L

Trades (30d)

16

across 5 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$1.00

· loss $1

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $2 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	71.8% 28W/11L	42	$62
₿ Crypto	100.0% 1W/0L	9	$12
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/2L	5	$16
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	145	0.375	$54.26	$38.26	+239.1%
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	No	73	0.665	$48.37	$17.70	+57.7%
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	52	0.345	$17.89	$7.65	+74.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	15	0.968	$14.56	$0.56	+4.0%
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	15	0.875	$13.04	$0.04	+0.3%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?	No	13	0.902	$11.42	$2.42	+26.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	17	0.625	$10.69	$-3.31	-23.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	12	0.845	$10.43	$1.43	+15.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	11	0.960	$10.43	$0.43	+4.3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	16	0.525	$8.29	$-4.68	-36.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	27	0.300	$8.13	$1.13	+16.2%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	8	0.964	$7.26	$0.26	+3.7%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	8	0.900	$7.18	$0.18	+2.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	8	0.755	$6.20	$2.20	+55.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	7	0.855	$6.16	$0.16	+2.6%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	6	0.945	$5.61	$0.61	+12.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	6	0.885	$4.90	$0.90	+22.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	5	0.845	$4.61	$0.61	+15.4%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	3	0.984	$3.00	$-0.00	-0.1%
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4	0.725	$2.64	$0.64	+32.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	6	0.455	$2.55	$1.06	+71.9%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	2	0.957	$2.34	$0.34	+17.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4	0.505	$2.06	$0.06	+3.1%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	2	0.942	$2.04	$0.04	+2.0%
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	2	0.989	$2.01	$0.01	+0.4%