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Trader

0x4d59652f8c3b4cb2aee44a54adbeb59fb3631e2f
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
6W / 2L · 15 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
11W / 8L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
23
across 18 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.27
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.32
$1 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
0.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $40 · all-time $23,453

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 71.8% 28W/11L 42 $62
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 9 $12
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $16
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 145 0.385 $55.71 $39.71 +248.2%
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No 73 0.665 $48.37 $17.70 +57.7%
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No 52 0.344 $17.82 $7.57 +73.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No 15 0.968 $14.57 $0.57 +4.1%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 15 0.875 $13.04 $0.04 +0.3%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? No 13 0.902 $11.42 $2.42 +26.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 17 0.615 $10.52 $-3.48 -24.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.960 $10.43 $0.43 +4.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 12 0.835 $10.31 $1.31 +14.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No 27 0.305 $8.27 $1.27 +18.1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 16 0.515 $8.13 $-4.83 -37.3%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 8 0.966 $7.27 $0.27 +3.9%
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 8 0.900 $7.18 $0.18 +2.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 8 0.755 $6.20 $2.20 +55.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No 7 0.850 $6.12 $0.12 +2.0%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 6 0.945 $5.61 $0.61 +12.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.885 $4.90 $0.90 +22.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.845 $4.61 $0.61 +15.4%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No 3 0.985 $3.00 $-0.00 -0.0%
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? Yes 4 0.725 $2.64 $0.64 +32.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.455 $2.55 $1.06 +71.9%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 2 0.957 $2.34 $0.34 +17.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 4 0.505 $2.06 $0.06 +3.1%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 2 0.942 $2.04 $0.04 +2.0%
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? No 2 0.986 $2.00 $0.00 +0.1%