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Trader leaderboard/oneoftheppl

oneoftheppl

0x4d1de0d8bf27bbb1f34545e974cfb794ac8e01ac
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$138
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$93
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
19%
28W / 117L · 66 open
Win Return (30d)
27%
58W / 153L
Trades (30d)
211
across 54 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$5.12
avg win $75 · loss $19
Profit Factor
1.35
$528 won / $390 lost
Reward / Risk
3.87
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$244
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $44,721 · all-time $837,556

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.3% 2,216W/1,654L 2065 $146,167
⚽ Sports 35.3% 250W/459L 534 $25,407
🏛 Politics 17.7% 14W/65L 39 $1,933
🎬 Culture 65.9% 27W/14L 15 $3,499
💵 Economy 61.9% 13W/8L 9 $1,288

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? No 1,693 0.981 $1,659.98 $-6.84 -0.4%
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? No 768 0.996 $764.54 $4.71 +0.6%
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 751 1.000 $750.29 $53.09 +7.6%
Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? No 676 0.895 $604.98 $77.34 +14.7%
CD Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: Second half draw? No 936 0.510 $477.40 $-167.23 -25.9%
Will Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? No 461 0.955 $440.34 $52.71 +13.6%
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? Yes 376 0.983 $369.68 $16.54 +4.7%
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 2,861 0.125 $357.57 $-111.92 -23.8%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? Yes 321 0.988 $316.54 $45.39 +16.7%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 302 1.000 $302.08 $71.83 +31.2%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting? No 251 0.875 $219.75 $8.25 +3.9%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? No 516 0.415 $214.14 $101.28 +89.7%
Will Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? No 192 0.942 $180.81 $17.61 +10.8%
Will Richard Jenkins – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? No 176 0.990 $174.22 $53.02 +43.7%
Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? No 309 0.538 $166.43 $68.78 +70.4%
Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? Yes 235 0.655 $153.93 $44.58 +40.8%
Will Shedeur Sanders be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB? No 254 0.585 $148.45 $1.87 +1.3%
Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? No 150 0.926 $138.97 $6.97 +5.3%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? Yes 150 0.885 $132.75 $21.75 +19.6%
Will Carey Baker be the FL-11 Republican nominee? No 162 0.770 $124.74 $9.72 +8.5%
Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? Yes 188 0.662 $124.34 $79.71 +178.6%
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 123 0.982 $120.70 $43.88 +57.1%
Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? Yes 313 0.385 $120.35 $89.99 +296.4%
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? Yes 212 0.535 $113.63 $58.12 +104.7%
Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? No 150 0.725 $108.75 $26.25 +31.8%