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Trader leaderboard/oneoftheppl

oneoftheppl

0x4d1de0d8bf27bbb1f34545e974cfb794ac8e01ac
PnL (30d)
−$633
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$796
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
2,209W / 1,645L · 469 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
2,486W / 1,764L · 73 open
Trades (30d)
4,323
across 2,043 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.35
avg win $11 · loss $16
Profit Factor
0.95
$11,586 won / $12,219 lost
Reward / Risk
0.64
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2,866
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $42,768 · all-time $835,603

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.3% 2,209W/1,645L 2043 $145,750
⚽ Sports 35.1% 256W/473L 533 $25,570
🏛 Politics 17.7% 14W/65L 39 $1,938
🎬 Culture 68.2% 30W/14L 18 $3,622
💵 Economy 63.6% 14W/8L 10 $1,320

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? No 1,693 0.986 $1,669.29 $2.47 +0.1%
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? No 768 0.996 $764.54 $4.71 +0.6%
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 751 1.000 $750.29 $53.09 +7.6%
Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? No 676 0.895 $604.98 $77.34 +14.7%
CD Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: Second half draw? No 936 0.510 $477.40 $-167.23 -25.9%
Will Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? No 461 0.961 $443.11 $55.47 +14.3%
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? Yes 376 0.978 $367.61 $14.47 +4.1%
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 2,861 0.125 $357.57 $-111.92 -23.8%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? Yes 321 0.986 $316.06 $44.91 +16.6%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 302 0.996 $301.02 $70.77 +30.7%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting? No 251 0.875 $219.75 $8.25 +3.9%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? No 516 0.370 $190.92 $78.06 +69.2%
Will Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? No 192 0.942 $180.81 $17.61 +10.8%
Will Richard Jenkins – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? No 176 0.989 $174.13 $52.93 +43.7%
Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? No 309 0.538 $166.43 $68.78 +70.4%
Will Shedeur Sanders be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB? No 254 0.610 $154.79 $8.21 +5.6%
Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? Yes 235 0.655 $153.93 $44.58 +40.8%
Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? No 150 0.926 $138.97 $6.97 +5.3%
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? Yes 150 0.885 $132.75 $21.75 +19.6%
Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? Yes 188 0.662 $124.24 $79.62 +178.4%
Will Carey Baker be the FL-11 Republican nominee? No 162 0.755 $122.31 $7.29 +6.3%
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 123 0.986 $121.13 $44.31 +57.7%
Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? Yes 313 0.385 $120.35 $89.99 +296.4%
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? Yes 212 0.535 $113.63 $58.12 +104.7%
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? No 1,304 0.085 $110.80 $-19.19 -14.8%