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Trader leaderboard/cyfrav

cyfrav

0x4c2a07d0b2f77d7b2cc30d9c7379fbf80ed265dc
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$303
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$20
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-19.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
20%
38W / 153L · 20 open
Win Return (30d)
23%
46W / 156L · 9 open
Trades (30d)
211
across 49 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$6.74
avg win $33 · loss $17
Profit Factor
0.50
$298 won / $601 lost
Reward / Risk
1.98
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$72
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,084 · all-time $29,072,623

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.9% 840W/809L 216 $74,932
🎬 Culture 11.8% 2W/15L 8 $297
🏛 Politics 30.0% 3W/7L 6 $100
₿ Crypto 50.0% 2W/2L 5 $20
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/2L 3 $283
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $6

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

32 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes 2,600 0.145 $376.99 $-3.00 -0.8%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 225 0.700 $157.47 $69.84 +79.7%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? No 175 0.605 $105.96 $2.63 +2.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 400 0.175 $70.00 $-2.00 -2.8%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 1,000 0.065 $65.00 $-75.00 -53.6%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? Yes 620 0.100 $62.00 $-24.20 -28.1%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 100 0.325 $32.50 $-10.50 -24.4%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? Yes 208 0.115 $23.94 $3.12 +15.0%
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 519 0.034 $17.39 $2.60 +17.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.075 $15.00 $-5.00 -25.0%
Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 182 0.078 $14.23 $-12.82 -47.4%
Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 259 0.054 $14.14 $-9.85 -41.1%
Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 567 0.018 $9.92 $3.69 +59.1%
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 322 0.030 $9.82 $-1.36 -12.1%
Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 100 0.085 $8.50 $-0.50 -5.6%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1? Yes 240 0.032 $7.67 $0.88 +12.9%
Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 230 0.032 $7.25 $1.15 +18.8%
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes 540 0.013 $7.02 $5.40 +333.3%
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 24 0.265 $6.31 $-6.54 -50.9%
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.060 $6.00 $-2.00 -25.0%
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 273 0.021 $5.72 $-47.66 -89.3%
USDC depeg by December 31? Yes 430 0.013 $5.38 $-6.48 -54.7%
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 122 0.040 $4.82 $-6.38 -57.0%
GHO depeg by December 31? Yes 100 0.045 $4.50 $-1.50 -25.0%
USDE depeg by December 31? Yes 49 0.055 $2.70 $0.24 +10.0%