Log in
Trader leaderboard/cyfrav

cyfrav

0x4c2a07d0b2f77d7b2cc30d9c7379fbf80ed265dc
PnL (30d)
+$948
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$51
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
51%
840W / 809L · 130 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
901W / 862L · 16 open
Trades (30d)
1,779
across 216 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$5.18
avg win $66 · loss $33
Profit Factor
1.25
$4,699 won / $3,751 lost
Reward / Risk
1.98
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$447
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,615 · all-time $29,071,154

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.9% 840W/809L 216 $74,874
🏛 Politics 38.4% 43W/69L 22 $6,922
🎬 Culture 2.5% 2W/77L 20 $1,127
₿ Crypto 50.0% 2W/2L 5 $19
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $301
💵 Economy 100.0% 41W/0L 3 $5,867

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

33 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes 2,600 0.145 $376.99 $-3.00 -0.8%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 225 0.685 $154.10 $66.46 +75.8%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? No 175 0.605 $105.96 $2.63 +2.5%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 1,000 0.075 $75.00 $-65.00 -46.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 400 0.165 $66.00 $-6.00 -8.3%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? Yes 620 0.100 $62.00 $-24.20 -28.1%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 100 0.325 $32.50 $-10.50 -24.4%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? Yes 208 0.115 $23.94 $3.12 +15.0%
Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 182 0.090 $16.51 $-10.54 -39.0%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.075 $15.00 $-5.00 -25.0%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 100 0.095 $9.50 $3.50 +58.3%
Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 100 0.085 $8.50 $-0.50 -5.6%
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 24 0.330 $7.85 $-5.00 -38.9%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1? Yes 200 0.037 $7.40 $1.40 +23.3%
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes 540 0.013 $6.75 $5.13 +316.7%
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.060 $6.00 $-2.00 -25.0%
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 273 0.022 $6.00 $-47.38 -88.8%
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 322 0.018 $5.63 $-5.54 -49.6%
USDC depeg by December 31? Yes 430 0.013 $5.38 $-6.48 -54.7%
Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 240 0.021 $5.04 $-19.76 -79.7%
GHO depeg by December 31? Yes 100 0.045 $4.50 $-1.50 -25.0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 122 0.031 $3.78 $-7.42 -66.2%
Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 30 0.083 $2.48 $-0.47 -16.1%
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 12 0.205 $2.46 $-0.54 -18.0%
Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 26 0.085 $2.24 $0.15 +7.1%