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Trader leaderboard/Peaven

Peaven

0x4b4806c46359b67fe6afce2c9be664184f5335d0
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$5
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$9
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
83%
5W / 1L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
5W / 6L
Trades (30d)
11
across 4 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$1.69
avg win $3 · loss $0
Profit Factor
97.74
$5 won / $0 lost
Reward / Risk
48.87
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $601 · all-time $32,007

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 63.2% 36W/21L 43 $1,706
🏛 Politics 100.0% 5W/0L 4 $103
🎬 Culture 100.0% 5W/0L 3 $101
⚽ Sports 2 $35

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 181 0.915 $165.67 $10.68 +6.9%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 90 0.872 $78.48 $-2.75 -3.4%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 80 0.935 $74.80 $15.00 +25.1%
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? No 60 0.896 $53.70 $7.93 +17.3%
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No 60 0.870 $52.20 $5.00 +10.6%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No 56 0.925 $52.19 $3.63 +7.5%
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? No 59 0.870 $51.33 $10.88 +26.9%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 78 0.640 $50.09 $-9.27 -15.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 50 0.925 $46.25 $4.25 +10.1%
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? No 40 0.890 $35.60 $4.80 +15.6%
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No 30 0.855 $25.65 $-0.15 -0.6%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No 30 0.835 $25.05 $0.45 +1.8%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 30 0.820 $24.59 $3.30 +15.5%
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? No 30 0.790 $23.70 $-1.80 -7.1%
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid? Yes 30 0.630 $18.90 $-2.10 -10.0%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 20 0.865 $17.30 $0.50 +3.0%
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? No 20 0.865 $17.30 $1.90 +12.3%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No 20 0.855 $17.10 $1.10 +6.9%
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No 20 0.820 $16.40 $2.68 +19.5%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No 20 0.760 $15.20 $-1.80 -10.6%
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? No 20 0.730 $14.60 $-0.60 -3.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 20 0.715 $14.30 $0.30 +2.1%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? No 40 0.335 $13.40 $-13.80 -50.7%
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.335 $13.26 $9.83 +287.1%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 30 0.353 $10.60 $-0.92 -7.9%