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Trader leaderboard/Peaven

Peaven

0x4b4806c46359b67fe6afce2c9be664184f5335d0
PnL (30d)
+$122
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+12.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
36W / 21L · 39 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
58W / 38L
Trades (30d)
96
across 42 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$6.43
avg win $12 · loss $9
Profit Factor
3.86
$165 won / $43 lost
Reward / Risk
1.38
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $601 · all-time $32,007

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 63.2% 36W/21L 42 $1,692
🏛 Politics 100.0% 5W/0L 5 $128
🎬 Culture 100.0% 5W/0L 3 $101
⚽ Sports 2 $35

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 181 0.915 $165.67 $10.68 +6.9%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 90 0.874 $78.61 $-2.61 -3.2%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 80 0.935 $74.80 $15.00 +25.1%
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? No 60 0.896 $53.70 $7.93 +17.3%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 78 0.680 $53.22 $-6.14 -10.3%
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? No 59 0.885 $52.22 $11.77 +29.1%
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No 60 0.870 $52.20 $5.00 +10.6%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No 56 0.925 $52.19 $3.63 +7.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 50 0.925 $46.25 $4.25 +10.1%
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? No 40 0.890 $35.60 $4.80 +15.6%
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No 30 0.855 $25.65 $-0.15 -0.6%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No 30 0.835 $25.05 $0.45 +1.8%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 30 0.820 $24.59 $3.30 +15.5%
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? No 30 0.805 $24.15 $-1.35 -5.3%
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid? Yes 30 0.605 $18.15 $-2.85 -13.6%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 20 0.875 $17.50 $0.70 +4.2%
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? No 20 0.865 $17.30 $1.90 +12.3%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No 20 0.855 $17.10 $1.10 +6.9%
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No 20 0.820 $16.40 $2.68 +19.5%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? No 40 0.395 $15.80 $-11.40 -41.9%
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? No 20 0.740 $14.80 $-0.40 -2.6%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No 20 0.710 $14.20 $-2.80 -16.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 20 0.705 $14.10 $0.10 +0.7%
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.335 $13.26 $9.83 +287.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 50 0.215 $10.75 $-11.25 -51.1%