Trader
0x4b3c5ba3a3eb539a007072cfe970f83bb6da7cd3
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$386
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-2.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
2,672W / 1,556L
Win Return (30d)
63%
2,672W / 1,556L
Trades (30d)
4,228
across 37 markets · ~114 per market
EV / position
−$10.44
avg win $19 · loss $79
Profit Factor
0.56
$482 won / $868 lost
Reward / Risk
0.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$247
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,244 · all-time $1,550,946
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
56.2%
3,951W/3,073L
|
64 |
$43,728 |
|
₿ Crypto
|
31.1%
187W/415L
|
7 |
$3,591 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? |
No |
325 |
0.835 |
$271.29 |
$158.60 |
+140.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.905 |
$180.99 |
$9.00 |
+5.2% |
| Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? |
Yes |
184 |
0.075 |
$13.81 |
$-75.71 |
-84.6% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
Yes |
72 |
0.066 |
$4.73 |
$-1.77 |
-27.2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? |
No |
1 |
0.335 |
$0.49 |
$0.05 |
+10.4% |