Trader
0x4b3c5ba3a3eb539a007072cfe970f83bb6da7cd3
PnL (30d)
−$719
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$23
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
3,951W / 3,073L · 141 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
4,008W / 3,157L
Trades (30d)
7,165
across 64 markets · ~112 per market
EV / position
−$11.60
avg win $19 · loss $71
Profit Factor
0.52
$767 won / $1,486 lost
Reward / Risk
0.26
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$262
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,088 · all-time $1,550,790
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
56.2%
3,951W/3,073L
|
64 |
$43,473 |
|
₿ Crypto
|
60.0%
531W/354L
|
9 |
$5,659 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? |
No |
325 |
0.810 |
$263.16 |
$150.48 |
+133.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.905 |
$180.99 |
$9.00 |
+5.2% |
| Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? |
Yes |
184 |
0.075 |
$13.81 |
$-75.71 |
-84.6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? |
Yes |
10 |
0.645 |
$6.51 |
$-0.53 |
-7.6% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
Yes |
72 |
0.067 |
$4.80 |
$-1.70 |
-26.1% |