tamirlavi
0x4b3c4565fde3b3d3501623058e105cf8efcd2688
PnL (30d)
−$7
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
99W / 70L · 112 open
Win Return (30d)
49%
138W / 141L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
281
across 100 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.11
avg win $3 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.94
$112 won / $120 lost
Reward / Risk
0.91
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$25
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $587 · all-time $68,458
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? |
No |
79 |
0.981 |
$77.27 |
$10.07 |
+15.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
34 |
0.515 |
$17.69 |
$3.61 |
+25.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
24 |
0.535 |
$12.85 |
$1.85 |
+16.8% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
22 |
0.375 |
$8.07 |
$-0.34 |
-4.0% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.145 |
$1.81 |
$-0.19 |
-9.4% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.120 |
$1.14 |
$-0.86 |
-42.9% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
13 |
0.055 |
$0.73 |
$-1.27 |
-63.3% |