Trader
0x4afc9e57bd843148018f229064e74f8ec080e11e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$5
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+10.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
2W / 0L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
75%
3W / 1L
Trades (30d)
4
across 3 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$4.72
avg win $5
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $962 · all-time $264,793
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting? |
No |
21 |
0.875 |
$18.60 |
$1.17 |
+6.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.203 |
$6.11 |
$0.92 |
+17.7% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
6 |
0.625 |
$3.81 |
$-0.15 |
-3.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
21 |
0.150 |
$3.12 |
$-1.88 |
-37.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.185 |
$2.73 |
$0.07 |
+2.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
114 |
0.018 |
$2.06 |
$-5.94 |
-74.3% |