PnL (30d)

+$189

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

+24.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

4%

52W / 1,245L

Win Return (30d)

4%

52W / 1,245L

Trades (30d)

1,297

across 286 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$0.66

avg win $66 · loss $3

Profit Factor

1.25

$931 won / $742 lost

Reward / Risk

24.37

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$125

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	3.1% 186W/5,731L	1306	$5,332
🌤 Weather	5.0% 26W/499L	127	$450

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

29 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5?	No	42	0.045	$1.90	$0.45	+31.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5?	No	120	0.015	$1.80	$0.30	+20.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 5?	No	20	0.085	$1.70	$1.20	+240.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?	No	45	0.030	$1.35	$-0.15	-10.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 5?	No	120	0.009	$1.02	$-0.48	-32.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5?	No	45	0.020	$0.90	$-0.60	-40.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5?	No	120	0.005	$0.60	$-0.90	-60.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 5?	No	45	0.011	$0.49	$-1.00	-67.0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 5?	No	45	0.006	$0.27	$-1.23	-82.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	No	45	0.002	$0.09	$-1.41	-94.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5?	No	45	0.002	$0.07	$-1.43	-95.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.04	$-1.45	-97.0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%