PnL (30d)

+$3

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

3%

186W / 5,728L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

3%

186W / 5,745L

Trades (30d)

5,931

across 1,306 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$0.00

avg win $58 · loss $3

Profit Factor

1.00

$3,376 won / $3,374 lost

Reward / Risk

21.45

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$284

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	3.1% 186W/5,728L	1306	$5,332
🌤 Weather	5.0% 26W/496L	127	$450

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5?	No	35	0.210	$7.39	$6.08	+466.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5?	No	120	0.015	$1.80	$0.30	+20.0%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 5?	No	45	0.030	$1.35	$-0.15	-10.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 5?	No	120	0.009	$1.02	$-0.48	-32.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5?	No	20	0.035	$0.70	$0.20	+40.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 5?	No	45	0.013	$0.58	$-0.91	-61.0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 5?	No	45	0.006	$0.27	$-1.23	-82.0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5?	No	45	0.003	$0.11	$-1.39	-92.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	No	45	0.002	$0.09	$-1.41	-94.0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	No	45	0.002	$0.09	$-1.41	-94.0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 5?	No	45	0.002	$0.07	$-1.43	-95.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	No	45	0.002	$0.07	$-1.43	-95.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?	No	45	0.001	$0.02	$-1.48	-98.5%