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Trader leaderboard/The-fool-holding-the-bag

The-fool-holding-the-bag

0x4999bcd21bef6d657c2e563c483a683fee45c800
PnL (30d)
−$23
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
69%
106W / 47L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
106W / 57L
Trades (30d)
163
across 89 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.28
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.53
$27 won / $50 lost
Reward / Risk
0.20
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$6
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $118 · all-time $13,170

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 69.3% 106W/47L 89 $1,159
₿ Crypto 87.9% 29W/4L 18 $160
💵 Economy 87.9% 29W/4L 18 $160

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 5? No 31 0.988 $30.94 $-0.06 -0.2%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 11 0.485 $5.51 $0.51 +10.2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on August 5? No 5 0.979 $5.01 $0.01 +0.1%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 10 0.445 $4.53 $-1.02 -18.4%