Log in
Trader leaderboard/Trader

Trader

0x48ea80c659a01a381b85809a3fd4a8c50c74cb19
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
5W / 3L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
5W / 3L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
9
across 4 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.88
avg win $0 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.12
$0 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
0.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $489 · all-time $16,796

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 73.6% 416W/149L 140 $718
🏛 Politics 100.0% 4W/0L 8 $20
💵 Economy 100.0% 3W/0L 3 $3
₿ Crypto — 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2,444 0.009 $20.78 $-1.22 -5.5%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes 95 0.105 $10.00 $-1.47 -12.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 12 0.835 $9.92 $0.79 +8.7%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No 9 0.830 $7.56 $0.56 +8.0%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes 75 0.080 $5.96 $-2.04 -25.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 49 0.117 $5.71 $-0.29 -4.8%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? Yes 26 0.115 $3.02 $-2.29 -43.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? No 3 0.885 $2.81 $0.81 +40.5%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes 13 0.210 $2.80 $-0.20 -6.8%
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No 3 0.765 $2.00 $0.00 +0.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? Yes 61 0.029 $1.79 $-0.21 -10.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? Yes 14 0.125 $1.74 $-0.26 -12.9%
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes 7 0.210 $1.50 $-0.50 -25.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? Yes 84 0.017 $1.43 $-0.57 -28.6%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? Yes 31 0.045 $1.41 $-2.59 -64.7%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No 2 0.735 $1.22 $0.22 +22.5%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? No 1 0.985 $1.01 $0.01 +0.6%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 2 0.625 $0.99 $-0.01 -0.8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 4 0.225 $0.98 $-0.02 -2.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 2 0.457 $0.97 $-0.03 -2.8%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No 2 0.395 $0.96 $-0.05 -4.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 4 0.225 $0.92 $-1.08 -54.1%
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 10, 2026? No 1 0.890 $0.90 $-0.10 -10.1%
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 24, 2026? No 1 0.650 $0.88 $-0.12 -12.2%
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 6, 2026? No 1 0.815 $0.82 $-0.18 -17.7%