| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2,444 |
0.009 |
$20.78 |
$-1.22 |
-5.5% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
Yes |
95 |
0.105 |
$10.00 |
$-1.47 |
-12.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.835 |
$9.92 |
$0.79 |
+8.7% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
9 |
0.830 |
$7.56 |
$0.56 |
+8.0% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
75 |
0.080 |
$5.96 |
$-2.04 |
-25.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
49 |
0.117 |
$5.71 |
$-0.29 |
-4.8% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
Yes |
26 |
0.115 |
$3.02 |
$-2.29 |
-43.1% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.885 |
$2.81 |
$0.81 |
+40.5% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
13 |
0.210 |
$2.80 |
$-0.20 |
-6.8% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.765 |
$2.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? |
Yes |
61 |
0.029 |
$1.79 |
$-0.21 |
-10.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? |
Yes |
14 |
0.125 |
$1.74 |
$-0.26 |
-12.9% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
7 |
0.210 |
$1.50 |
$-0.50 |
-25.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
31 |
0.045 |
$1.41 |
$-2.59 |
-64.7% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
2 |
0.735 |
$1.22 |
$0.22 |
+22.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? |
Yes |
84 |
0.014 |
$1.18 |
$-0.82 |
-41.2% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.991 |
$1.01 |
$0.01 |
+1.2% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.625 |
$0.99 |
$-0.01 |
-0.8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
4 |
0.225 |
$0.98 |
$-0.02 |
-2.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.457 |
$0.97 |
$-0.03 |
-2.8% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
No |
2 |
0.395 |
$0.96 |
$-0.05 |
-4.5% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 10, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.890 |
$0.90 |
$-0.10 |
-10.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
4 |
0.215 |
$0.88 |
$-1.12 |
-56.1% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 24, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.650 |
$0.88 |
$-0.12 |
-12.2% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 6, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.815 |
$0.82 |
$-0.18 |
-17.7% |