| Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31? |
No |
260 |
0.805 |
$209.63 |
$-19.53 |
-8.5% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? |
No |
566 |
0.355 |
$201.10 |
$-112.16 |
-35.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
312 |
0.505 |
$157.81 |
$-42.19 |
-21.1% |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
100 |
0.844 |
$84.35 |
$-7.55 |
-8.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
82 |
0.905 |
$73.84 |
$-0.41 |
-0.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? |
No |
84 |
0.850 |
$71.59 |
$-4.21 |
-5.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
305 |
0.205 |
$62.50 |
$-187.50 |
-75.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? |
No |
25 |
0.785 |
$19.62 |
$-0.38 |
-1.9% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? |
No |
105 |
0.155 |
$16.32 |
$-75.26 |
-82.2% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $8.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.680 |
$13.60 |
$-3.80 |
-21.8% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.655 |
$13.10 |
$-4.70 |
-26.4% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.150 |
$7.50 |
$-22.00 |
-74.6% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? |
Up |
13 |
0.450 |
$5.79 |
$-3.22 |
-35.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
21 |
0.250 |
$5.21 |
$-13.12 |
-71.6% |
| Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee? |
No |
50 |
0.025 |
$1.25 |
$-1.25 |
-50.0% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
20 |
0.025 |
$0.49 |
$-17.67 |
-97.3% |
| Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.020 |
$0.40 |
$-1.00 |
-71.4% |
| Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
20 |
0.018 |
$0.36 |
$-0.64 |
-64.0% |
| Will Patricia Mair win the next Salzgitter mayoral election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.015 |
$0.30 |
$-0.50 |
-62.5% |
| Will United Russia win the next Amur Oblast Parliament elections? |
No |
20 |
0.013 |
$0.27 |
$-0.23 |
-46.0% |
| Will Anduril have the third highest private market valuation on August 31? |
Yes |
20 |
0.003 |
$0.05 |
$-0.57 |
-91.9% |
| Will Richard Dodson be the WY-AL Republican nominee? |
Yes |
20 |
0.001 |
$0.01 |
$-0.79 |
-98.8% |