| Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31? |
No |
260 |
0.805 |
$209.63 |
$-19.53 |
-8.5% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? |
No |
566 |
0.358 |
$203.08 |
$-110.18 |
-35.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
312 |
0.435 |
$135.94 |
$-64.06 |
-32.0% |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
100 |
0.849 |
$84.85 |
$-7.05 |
-7.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
82 |
0.885 |
$72.21 |
$-2.04 |
-2.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? |
No |
84 |
0.815 |
$68.63 |
$-7.17 |
-9.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
305 |
0.215 |
$65.55 |
$-184.45 |
-73.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? |
No |
25 |
0.785 |
$19.62 |
$-0.38 |
-1.9% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $8.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.680 |
$13.60 |
$-3.80 |
-21.8% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.650 |
$13.00 |
$-4.80 |
-27.0% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? |
No |
105 |
0.115 |
$12.10 |
$-79.47 |
-86.8% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? |
Up |
13 |
0.675 |
$8.68 |
$-0.32 |
-3.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.150 |
$7.50 |
$-22.00 |
-74.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
21 |
0.220 |
$4.58 |
$-13.75 |
-75.0% |
| Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee? |
No |
50 |
0.035 |
$1.73 |
$-0.77 |
-31.0% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
20 |
0.032 |
$0.64 |
$-17.52 |
-96.5% |
| Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
20 |
0.020 |
$0.40 |
$-0.60 |
-60.0% |
| Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.019 |
$0.39 |
$-1.01 |
-72.1% |
| Will Patricia Mair win the next Salzgitter mayoral election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.015 |
$0.30 |
$-0.50 |
-62.5% |
| Will United Russia win the next Amur Oblast Parliament elections? |
No |
20 |
0.010 |
$0.20 |
$-0.30 |
-60.0% |
| Will Anduril have the third highest private market valuation on August 31? |
Yes |
20 |
0.003 |
$0.05 |
$-0.57 |
-91.9% |
| Will Richard Dodson be the WY-AL Republican nominee? |
Yes |
20 |
0.001 |
$0.01 |
$-0.79 |
-98.8% |