0x485a2E9AD89D9109BB4d37b925bA60f6350421cB-1768423550172
0x485a2e9ad89d9109bb4d37b925ba60f6350421cb
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$69
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$922
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
8W / 0L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
38%
8W / 13L
Trades (30d)
21
across 4 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$68.70
avg win $69
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $32,753 · all-time $10,586,771
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
183,480 |
0.065 |
$11,926.18 |
$-13,980.79 |
-54.0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
Yes |
66,521 |
0.055 |
$3,658.68 |
$-1,934.84 |
-34.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
75,103 |
0.021 |
$1,607.20 |
$-1,922.93 |
-54.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
Yes |
44,522 |
0.021 |
$912.70 |
$-677.80 |
-42.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
Yes |
7,184 |
0.038 |
$272.99 |
$-229.89 |
-45.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
Yes |
900 |
0.095 |
$85.50 |
$-40.50 |
-32.1% |