PnL (30d)

−$145

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,975

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

80%

8W / 2L · 33 open

Win Return (30d)

19%

8W / 35L

Trades (30d)

43

across 8 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$72.42

avg win $69 · loss $214

Profit Factor

0.32

$69 won / $214 lost

Reward / Risk

0.32

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	80.0% 8W/2L	8	$5,795
🏛 Politics	—	2	$601

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	183,480	0.065	$11,926.18	$-13,980.79	-54.0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	66,521	0.055	$3,658.68	$-1,934.84	-34.6%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	75,103	0.019	$1,464.50	$-2,065.63	-58.5%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	44,522	0.015	$667.83	$-922.67	-58.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	7,184	0.037	$269.40	$-233.48	-46.4%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Yes	900	0.095	$85.50	$-40.50	-32.1%