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Trader leaderboard/howstheweather

howstheweather

0x47f73420e75fda5843e825feba5c7829ae110312
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$29
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
93%
223W / 18L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
93%
223W / 18L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
242
across 42 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$0.70
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
8.43
$32 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
0.67
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $23,469 · all-time $2,331,822

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.1% 790W/305L 188 $103,054
🌤 Weather 100.0% 73W/0L 11 $14,928
⚽ Sports 1 $973

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Atalanta qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? Yes 2,074 0.960 $1,991.06 $-56.12 -2.7%
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No 659 0.986 $649.88 $29.96 +4.8%
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic 600 0.895 $537.00 $65.00 +13.8%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 3,000 0.145 $435.00 $15.00 +3.6%
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 3,000 0.135 $405.00 $75.00 +22.7%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 300 0.790 $237.00 $-6.00 -2.5%
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No 185 0.961 $177.87 $11.29 +6.8%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes 202 0.865 $175.13 $1.01 +0.6%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 5,000 0.032 $157.50 $-77.50 -33.0%
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 5,000 0.023 $115.00 $-70.00 -37.8%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes 200 0.480 $96.10 $46.10 +92.2%
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes 200 0.445 $89.00 $3.00 +3.5%
Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? Yes 5 0.655 $3.27 $-0.72 -18.1%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 571 0.004 $2.00 $-2.00 -50.0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 415 0.003 $1.04 $-1.87 -64.3%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes 2 0.355 $0.80 $-0.55 -40.8%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 138 0.004 $0.48 $-0.70 -59.4%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 160 0.001 $0.08 $-0.28 -77.6%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 17 0.004 $0.06 $-0.03 -30.1%
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 40 0.002 $0.06 $-0.10 -62.5%
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 24 0.001 $0.01 $-0.06 -83.4%
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 10 0.001 $0.01 $-0.01 -75.0%