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Trader leaderboard/howstheweather

howstheweather

0x47f73420e75fda5843e825feba5c7829ae110312
PnL (30d)
−$2,801
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$28
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
72%
790W / 305L · 142 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
868W / 363L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
1,237
across 185 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$16.57
avg win $8 · loss $139
Profit Factor
0.28
$1,094 won / $3,895 lost
Reward / Risk
0.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $23,469 · all-time $2,331,807

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.1% 790W/305L 185 $101,964
🌤 Weather 100.0% 73W/0L 11 $14,928
⚽ Sports 1 $973

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Atalanta qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? Yes 2,074 0.960 $1,990.02 $-57.15 -2.8%
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No 659 0.986 $649.88 $29.96 +4.8%
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic 600 0.895 $537.00 $65.00 +13.8%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 3,000 0.145 $435.00 $15.00 +3.6%
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 3,000 0.135 $405.00 $75.00 +22.7%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 300 0.785 $235.50 $-7.50 -3.1%
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No 185 0.964 $178.33 $11.75 +7.1%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes 187 0.875 $163.87 $2.81 +1.7%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 5,000 0.032 $157.50 $-77.50 -33.0%
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes 5,000 0.023 $115.00 $-70.00 -37.8%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes 200 0.481 $96.30 $46.30 +92.6%
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes 200 0.445 $89.00 $3.00 +3.5%
Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? Yes 5 0.450 $2.25 $-1.75 -43.8%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 571 0.004 $2.00 $-2.00 -50.0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 415 0.003 $1.04 $-1.87 -64.3%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes 2 0.355 $0.80 $-0.55 -40.8%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 138 0.004 $0.48 $-0.70 -59.4%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 160 0.001 $0.08 $-0.28 -77.6%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 17 0.004 $0.07 $-0.02 -20.0%
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 40 0.002 $0.06 $-0.10 -62.5%
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 24 0.001 $0.01 $-0.06 -83.4%
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 10 0.001 $0.01 $-0.01 -75.0%