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Trader leaderboard/CR.DON7

CR.DON7

0x47e13c88f7679b0dbb6939ca4e140deb2407e621
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$79
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-12.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
30%
14W / 32L · 15 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
25W / 36L
Trades (30d)
61
across 15 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$13.16
avg win $26 · loss $33
Profit Factor
0.40
$52 won / $131 lost
Reward / Risk
0.79
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$101
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,703 · all-time $91,388

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.3% 101W/96L 100 $4,634
🏛 Politics 63.6% 14W/8L 10 $733
⚽ Sports 6 $332
🎬 Culture 100.0% 14W/0L 4 $445

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 205 0.460 $94.28 $-34.01 -26.5%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 100 0.915 $91.50 $-0.50 -0.5%
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? No 97 0.805 $78.00 $-5.35 -6.4%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 80 0.786 $62.89 $7.00 +12.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 68 0.805 $54.84 $22.07 +67.4%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 66 0.745 $48.80 $11.80 +31.9%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No 50 0.715 $35.75 $4.75 +15.3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 44 0.645 $28.67 $8.67 +43.3%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 34 0.675 $22.95 $3.23 +16.4%
Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026? No 26 0.800 $20.97 $0.10 +0.5%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 68 0.298 $20.45 $0.45 +2.2%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 55 0.365 $20.07 $-1.32 -6.2%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 75 0.255 $19.12 $4.12 +27.5%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? No 20 0.912 $18.21 $0.35 +2.0%
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? No 34 0.385 $13.05 $-6.95 -34.7%
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? Yes 55 0.185 $10.27 $1.07 +11.6%
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? Yes 15 0.584 $8.86 $-1.84 -17.2%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? Yes 18 0.335 $5.86 $-0.09 -1.5%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 81 0.035 $2.80 $-13.20 -82.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? Yes 14 0.125 $1.70 $-5.14 -75.1%
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? Yes 54 0.018 $0.97 $-36.49 -97.4%
Will Joao Cancelo join Al-Nassr? Yes 28 0.010 $0.28 $-2.72 -90.6%