| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.915 |
$91.50 |
$-0.50 |
-0.5% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
205 |
0.445 |
$91.31 |
$-36.99 |
-28.8% |
| SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? |
No |
97 |
0.805 |
$78.00 |
$-5.35 |
-6.4% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
80 |
0.786 |
$62.89 |
$7.00 |
+12.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
68 |
0.845 |
$57.57 |
$24.80 |
+75.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
66 |
0.745 |
$48.80 |
$11.80 |
+31.9% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
50 |
0.715 |
$35.75 |
$4.75 |
+15.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
44 |
0.645 |
$28.67 |
$8.67 |
+43.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
34 |
0.675 |
$22.95 |
$3.23 |
+16.4% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
55 |
0.415 |
$22.82 |
$1.43 |
+6.7% |
| Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026? |
No |
26 |
0.800 |
$20.97 |
$0.10 |
+0.5% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
68 |
0.298 |
$20.45 |
$0.45 |
+2.2% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
75 |
0.255 |
$19.12 |
$4.12 |
+27.5% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.912 |
$18.21 |
$0.35 |
+2.0% |
| Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? |
No |
34 |
0.385 |
$13.05 |
$-6.95 |
-34.7% |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
55 |
0.160 |
$8.88 |
$-0.32 |
-3.5% |
| Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool? |
Yes |
15 |
0.584 |
$8.85 |
$-1.84 |
-17.2% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
Yes |
18 |
0.405 |
$7.09 |
$1.14 |
+19.1% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
81 |
0.034 |
$2.75 |
$-13.25 |
-82.8% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.115 |
$1.57 |
$-5.27 |
-77.1% |
| Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
54 |
0.018 |
$0.94 |
$-36.52 |
-97.5% |
| Will Joao Cancelo join Al-Nassr? |
Yes |
28 |
0.010 |
$0.28 |
$-2.72 |
-90.6% |